The first half of China's high-end equipment manufacturing development report was officially announced

In the first half of 2014, driven by the adjustment of the domestic economic structure and the transformation and upgrading, China's high-end equipment manufacturing industry maintained rapid growth in total, and its development momentum was full, becoming a new growth point in the equipment manufacturing industry, but its core competitiveness needs to be accelerated.

Overall situation of equipment manufacturing

In the first half of 2014, the industrial added value of equipment manufacturing enterprises above designated size increased by 11.2% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by 2 percentage points compared with the same period of 2013; the income from the main business increased by 11.77% year-on-year, and the growth rate decreased by 0.11 percentage points compared with the same period of 2013. The total profit increased by 20.32% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by 8.91 percentage points compared with the same period of 2013; the profit income of the main business income was 6.85%, an increase of 0.56 percentage points over the same period of 2013.

Key areas of high-end equipment manufacturing

1. The aviation, spacecraft and equipment industries maintained rapid growth, but the growth rate declined.

In the first half of 2014, the aviation, spacecraft and equipment manufacturing industry completed a main business income of 42.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.5%. The growth rate dropped by 7 percentage points compared with the same period of 2013; the profit was 1.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41%. In the same period of 2013, it fell by 5.7 percentage points; the export delivery value was 7.92 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.6%, and the growth rate dropped by 8.2 percentage points compared with the same period of 2013; the production and sales rate was 98%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points over the same period of 2013.

2. The offshore engineering equipment industry is accelerating its growth, and the proportion of orders is the highest in the world.

In the first half of 2014, the marine engineering equipment industry completed a main business income of 33.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.7%, an increase of 10.6 percentage points over the same period of 2013; a profit of 1.63 billion yuan, an increase of 83.1% over the same period of 2013. 115.9 percentage points. In the first half of 2014, China newly signed 81 marine engineering equipments, including 11 jack-up rigs, 3 semi-submersible rigs, 3 drilling rigs and 3 production platforms. 59 ships with a contract value of 7.9 billion US dollars and a world market share of 32%, ranking first in the world.

In recent years, China's marine engineering equipment manufacturing industry has made great progress, especially the offshore oil and gas development equipment has a good development foundation. China has basically realized the independent design and construction of shallow water and oil equipment, and some marine engineering ships have formed brands, and breakthroughs have been made in deep sea equipment manufacturing. Metal processing WeChat, the content is good, it is worthy of attention. On April 22, 2014, the first 4 500 m deep-sea remote-controlled unmanned submersible operating system “Hai Ma” developed by China independently completed the sea trial in the Central Basin of the South China Sea on the Ocean No. 6 scientific research ship, and in April. On the 18th, the sea was accepted.

"Hai Ma" is the unmanned remote-controlled submersible system with the largest depth of localization and the highest localization rate independently developed by China, and has realized the localization of key core technologies. The success of this sea trial marks that China has mastered the key technologies of large-depth unmanned remote-controlled submersibles and made substantial progress in the localization of key technologies. It is another iconicity in the high-tech field in China after the “Zhenlong”. The result.

On May 16, 2014, China's first self-raised 9000m marine module drilling derrick and lifting system independently developed in China successfully completed all tests such as load test and stress test. All major performance indicators have met the design requirements. Another major breakthrough in the field of ultra-deep well offshore drilling equipment.

3. The growth rate of the rail transit equipment industry has increased significantly

In the first half of 2014, the rail transportation equipment industry completed the main business income of 170.96 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.14%, an increase of 39.25 percentage points over the same period of 2013. The main business income of railway transportation equipment and urban rail transit equipment increased year-on-year. 31.9%, 10%; realized profit of 14.85 billion yuan, an increase of 61.24% over the same period of last year, an increase of 67.07 percentage points over the same period of 2013. The profit of railway transportation equipment and urban rail transit equipment increased by 65.6% and 19.1% year-on-year respectively; The delivery value was 3.24 billion yuan, down 1.84% year-on-year. The export delivery value of railway transportation equipment and urban rail transit equipment decreased by 0.2% year-on-year and 223.7% year-on-year respectively; the production and sales rate of railway transportation equipment and urban rail transit equipment were 95.4% respectively. And 92.3%, down 0.5 percentage points and 2 percentage points from the same period in 2013.

4. The rapid development of the industrial robot industry

China's industrial robot market continues to grow in size and has become the fastest growing market in the world. In 2003, the demand for industrial robots in China was only about 1,500 units. By 2013, the demand reached 28,200 units, an increase of about 13 times in 10 years. Metal processing WeChat, the content is good, it is worthy of attention. It is predicted that the market size of China's industrial robots is expected to reach 28,000 units in 2014, which is in line with Japan. The demand in 2015 will reach 34,000 units, which will exceed 3,000 units in Japan. In 2016, China will become the world's largest industry. Robot market.

Recently, industrial robots have quietly and quickly entered the large and small factory production lines. As robots appear more and more in all areas of production and life, Chinese industry is welcoming production revolutions with digital intelligent manufacturing as its core. These various industrial robots are actually the “images” of production automation equipment. As the “machine substitution” is accelerating, the production and management of ordinary factory production workshops become faster and more efficient. We are attracting “smart factories”. era.

5. The electrical machinery industry maintains rapid growth

In the first half of 2014, the added value of the electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing industry increased by 10.8% year-on-year. The output of power generation equipment increased by 2.9% year-on-year. Among them, the output of steam turbine generators increased by 6.8% year-on-year, the output of wind turbine generators increased by 28.5%, and the output of hydroelectric generating units decreased by 21.1%. Among power transmission and transformation equipment, transformer output increased by 6.9% year-on-year, and power cable production increased by 2.4% year-on-year.

6. The machine tool industry is recovering

In the first half of 2014, the output of Jinqie machine tools increased by 5% year-on-year, of which the output of CNC metal cutting machine tools increased by 18.5% year-on-year; the output of metal forming machine tools increased by 5.2%. The output of metal cutting tools increased by 15.7% year-on-year.

7. The output and output of major products in the construction machinery industry have increased or decreased.

In the first half of 2014, the output of internal combustion forklifts increased by 10.7% year-on-year, the output of compacted machinery increased by 19.9%, the output of concrete machinery increased by 0.9%, the output of excavators decreased by 6.6%, the output of loaders decreased by 4.6%, and the output of cement special equipment. It was down 0.3% year-on-year.

8. The output of major components of mechanical components continues to grow

In the first half of 2014, forgings production increased by 18% year-on-year, gear production increased by 16% year-on-year, pump production increased by 7.8%, and valve production increased by 3.2%.

Main problems in economic operation

1. The core technology of the offshore engineering equipment industry is too dependent on foreign countries.

Despite the breakthroughs in China's offshore engineering equipment in terms of independent design and core technology, there is still a big gap compared with European and American companies. Mainly reflected in the weak R&D design and innovation capabilities, the core technology relies on foreign countries; has not yet formed an internationally competitive professional manufacturing capability, basically at the low end of the industrial chain; the supporting capacity is seriously insufficient, and the core equipment and systems mainly rely on imports. After the development of the offshore equipment enterprises in Norway, the Netherlands and the United States, which have entered the Latin American market, they have already withdrawn from the low value-added fields such as platform assembly and have entered the core equipment construction. Core areas with high added value, such as operational services, are knowledge-intensive and technology-intensive. Metal processing WeChat, the content is good, it is worthy of attention. For example, in a platform costing 500 million to 600 million US dollars, the value of drilling equipment is as high as 200 million US dollars, that is, core equipment accounts for 1/3 of the total cost. The construction of core equipment will become the future of China's shipbuilding and marine equipment. The direction of development.

After experiencing rapid growth of 3-4 years, the offshore engineering equipment market entered the market adjustment period in the past two years. In particular, the market demand for jack-up drilling rigs is declining. It is unfavorable for the development of China's marine engineering equipment manufacturing industry, which is mainly based on jack-up platforms. To this end, we must increase efforts to improve the competitiveness of the high-end market in marine engineering equipment.

2. The high-end instrumentation market such as sensors is mainly based on foreign-funded enterprises.

High-end instruments such as sensors are widely used in commercial, civil, industrial, military, automotive and aerospace industries. At present, compared with foreign instrumentation giants such as Honeywell and Jingliang Electronics, China's instrumentation industry is still in a weak pattern, and the general volume is too small. Taking sensors as an example, the global sensor market will reach 150 billion US dollars in 2015, of which the domestic market is expected to reach 110 billion yuan, but the domestic market is still dominated by foreign-funded enterprises, and foreign-funded enterprises occupy 67% of the market.

3. The gap between industrial robot industry and developed countries is relatively large

The gap between China's industrial robot industry and developed countries is mainly reflected in the following: First, in software, there is no independent concept and system. Even if you purchase foreign software, it is still difficult to make high value-added products. Second, in hardware. On the other hand, the core components mainly rely on imports, and the cost cannot be reduced. Third, the details of hardware and software cooperation need to be improved. The most troublesome places are mechanical parts and software conflicts (design trajectory/programming is beyond the working range, between points). There is conflict between software programming of each other, conflicts of software defects, etc.), the degree of cooperation between software and hardware is not high; Fourth, the market share of independent brands is not high. In 2013, domestic industrial robots accounted for only 4% of their own brands, and wholly-owned and joint-venture brands accounted for 96%.

4. The development of basic technology, basic machinery and basic components lags behind

For a long time, due to the lack of attention to basic technology research, the development of basic machinery and mechanical basic parts of China's equipment industry has lagged behind, and it has become a major constraint to the progress of various types of mainframes and major technical equipment. Basic machinery products such as machine tools, instrumentation, etc., mostly in the middle and low-end products, the performance quality is not high. Compared with foreign countries, high-precision, ultra-precision machine tools and CNC machine tools still have a certain gap in accuracy, reliability, and process structure. The servo system and feedback components for CNC machine tools are poor in complete sets. The complete set rate of instrumentation products is low, the reliability index is low, the failure rate of sensitive components is much higher than that of foreign countries, and the total supply of digital and intelligent products is insufficient. The key projects require a variety of special requirements such as high precision and corrosion resistance. The development of basic components is backward and subject to people, becoming the bottleneck in the development of equipment manufacturing.

5, domestic high-end equipment products are generally suppressed by foreign businessmen

High-end equipment products have been dominated by foreign companies for a long time. When China is unable to produce independently, it will raise prices substantially. Once Chinese enterprises have achieved breakthroughs in localization, foreign companies will immediately implement price diving and use our domestic high-end equipment products to establish weaknesses. In order to lure users and compete for orders, domestic enterprises are unable to obtain orders and cannot recover huge amounts of investment in the previous period. For example, a nuclear power K1 cable produced by a US company (the highest explosion-proof grade), the past quotation has been maintained at around 10 million yuan per ton for a long time. The price of alternative products developed by domestic enterprises is only 5 million yuan per ton, and the foreign party will immediately quote Reduced to 2.8 million yuan per ton.

Situation judgment and forecast analysis

Situation judgment

1. Research on the economic situation at home and abroad

From an international perspective, global economic activities have generally strengthened. It is expected to further improve from 2014 to 2015. Advanced economies have emerged from the “Great Recession” and the recovery has gradually increased. However, economic growth is not as strong on a global scale, and the global recovery remains fragile. There are significant downside risks, including old and new risks, and further policy efforts are needed to fully restore confidence, ensure strong growth and mitigate downside risks.

From the domestic perspective, the effect of steady growth has already appeared, market demand has risen, corporate confidence has recovered, raw material purchases have become more active, operating rates have risen, and economic operations have continued to improve. At present, a series of steady growth policies and measures are still being released, and the overlapping lag effect will continue to be effective in the next few months. The domestic economy and manufacturing industry are expected to continue to maintain steady and rapid growth.

2. Research on the situation of key industries

(1) Rail transit equipment industry:

At present, China has become the world's fastest-growing high-speed rail, the most complete system, the strongest integration capability, the longest operating mileage, the highest operating speed and the largest scale of construction. China's 29 urban rail transit projects have been approved. According to relevant plans, by the year 2015, there will be 96 rail transit lines planned and constructed nationwide, with a total length of 2,500 km and a total investment of more than 1 trillion yuan. Metal processing WeChat, the content is good, it is worthy of attention. It is estimated that by 2020, the accumulated operating mileage of urban rail transit in China will reach 7 395 km, and the domestic rail transit equipment market will show an increasing trend year by year. The number of complete vehicles needs to reach 2,000 vehicles per year, according to the conservative density of 5 vehicles per kilometer. Calculated, the demand for vehicles in 2011-2020 exceeded 30,000 vehicles, which indicates that the rail transit industry has entered the golden period of development.

With the maturity of high-speed rail operations, it has become a new business card for government diplomacy. The high-speed railway is a systematic project, including railway construction, operating vehicles and operation management technology. China is the country with the longest mileage in the world's high-speed railways and the most mileage in construction. It has accumulated rich experience in railway construction and operation, and foreign construction. The cost per kilometer of high-speed rail is 50 million US dollars, while China has only 33 million US dollars, the French high-speed rail is 27 cents per kilometer, Spain is 25 cents per kilometer, Japan is 30 cents per kilometer, and China can do it every 7 cents. Generally speaking, Premier Li Keqiang summarized: "China's high-speed rail technology is advanced, safe and reliable, and the cost has a competitive advantage." It has become the new diplomatic card of the new government. In the visits to Thailand, Australia, Romania and Africa, the country Leaders spare no effort to promote high-speed rail technology. Although we have seen the enthusiasm of developing high-speed rail in all countries in the world, the decision-making and construction period of foreign high-speed rails far exceeds that of China, and the scale of construction is far from the domestic one. Recently, the media reported four ideas for the extension of China's high-speed rail to the country: Eurasian high-speed rail, Central Asian high-speed rail, Pan-Asian high-speed rail and Sino-Russian high-speed rail, but in addition to the Pan-Asian high-speed rail, the remaining few are still in the foreseeable future.

Although the high-speed rail output has little impact on the short-term performance of the domestic rail transit equipment industry, high-speed rail technology as the most advanced technology of rail transit, through the state's propaganda of high-speed rail technology, is a good way for the world to recognize that China's high-speed rail technology is already in the world's most The frontier has formed a good brand effect on the export of the entire rail transit vehicle in China.

(2) Marine engineering equipment industry:

On April 24, 2014, the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology jointly issued the “Implementation Plan for Offshore Engineering Equipment Engineering”, focusing on breakthroughs in deep-sea oil and gas exploration equipment, drilling equipment, production equipment, and In the design and manufacturing technology of related equipment and systems, we strive to enhance the independent research and development design, specialized manufacturing and system supporting capabilities, and promote the coordinated development of the industrial chain by strengthening the innovation capacity building and demonstration engineering applications, which is for the marine engineering equipment manufacturing industry in China. The realization of the transition from technology to technology, from scale expansion to quality improvement, from factor support to innovation drive has great guiding significance.

(3) Industrial robot industry:

The density of industrial robots in China is much lower than the global average, and the gap is more obvious than that of developed countries such as Japan, South Korea and Germany. For example, South Korea is the country with the highest density of industrial robots in the world, with 396 robots per 10,000 workers; Japan has 339 units; and Germany ranks third with 267 units. . The number of industrial robots in China is only 23, which is less than half of the international average of 58. At present, the application rate of industrial robots in China is 6.4%, Japan 26.6%, the United States 13.8%, Germany 13.6%, South Korea 10.8%. From this point of view, the huge gap with developed countries means that the development potential of China's industrial robot market is huge.

Predictive analysis

Based on the above analysis, it is expected that China's high-end equipment manufacturing industry will maintain steady and rapid growth in the second half of 2014. The foundation and momentum of growth will further stabilize and strengthen. The added value of high-end equipment manufacturing industry will increase by about 15% year-on-year.

Suggestions

Improve the statistical system of high-end equipment manufacturing, strengthen economic operation analysis and climate monitoring and early warning, improve the statistical system of high-end equipment manufacturing, conduct regular economic analysis of high-end equipment manufacturing industry, establish an industry information release system, and release relevant information and data in a timely manner; Strengthen the monitoring of the economic operation of key areas of key equipment manufacturing enterprises and key enterprises, grasp the development trend of the industry, identify major problems and trends in time, and propose relevant countermeasures and measures.

1. Accelerate the implementation of major national science and technology projects

Continue to implement high-end CNC machine tools and basic manufacturing equipment, large-scale aircraft, core electronic components, high-end general-purpose chips and basic software products, large-scale integrated circuit manufacturing equipment and complete sets of technology and other major scientific and technological projects, complete relevant major budget estimates and implementation as soon as possible The adjustment of the program, increase funding support, broaden the scope of support; accelerate the completion of major demonstrations and launches of aero-engines and gas turbines; encourage equipment manufacturers to increase R&D investment, establish R&D institutions, establish industry alliances, and strengthen testing and testing platforms Construction.

2. Research and establishment of "Special Project for Industrial Automation Development"

It is recommended that the national development and reform, industry, science and technology departments jointly study and set up a "special project for industrial automation development" to encourage and support the research and development of basic components, basic processes and basic technologies such as robots, precision machinery, microelectronics and PLC, and actively promote industrial automation. The level has been rapidly improved, breaking through the bottleneck of the deep integration of “two transformations” and accelerating the development of high-end equipment manufacturing industry and even industrial transformation and upgrading.

Strengthen the formulation and implementation of development strategies, policies and standards, strengthen strategic, forward-looking and long-term strategic issues, strengthen industry development risk analysis; study and formulate high-end equipment manufacturing support policies, guide enterprise investment and industrial development; strengthen key points Research on industry standard revision and access conditions.

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