Liu Shijin, deputy director of the Development Research Center of the State Council, said on the 3rd China Economic Forum held here on the 3rd that during the crisis and after the crisis, if China’s industry wants to continue to grow rapidly, the growth space is in the industrial value chain. mid-high part.
Liu Shijin said that China's industrial development currently faces constraints from three aspects: the cost of resources such as resources and labor has risen, and the low-cost competitive advantage of China's industry has been weakened; the domestic market space dominated by low-end and medium-end advantages has gradually narrowed. It will be difficult to maintain a high growth rate only by quantitative expansion; the adjustment of the US high consumption pattern after the crisis will form a medium- and long-term structural constraint on the Chinese product export market. At present, China's export enterprises have limited space for product expansion. China's industry only has a mid-to-high-end industrial value chain and has a lasting competitiveness.
Liu Shijin predicted the six key industrial areas that China may have in the future.
The first is an industry that reflects the requirements of the national strategy and is directly supported by the state's direct investment, such as the military industry and the aerospace industry.
The second is an industry with significant market and production scale economic advantages, such as steel, nonferrous metals, chemicals, and automobiles.
The third is a technology-intensive industry based on strong manufacturing capabilities and with certain R&D capabilities, such as the telecommunications equipment manufacturing industry.
The fourth is based on labor-intensive and industrial supporting advantages, and has the advantages of R&D, marketing, brand and other industries, mainly light industry, textile and garment, and some electronic machinery and other industries.
The fifth is due to major breakthroughs in technology, the formation of new technology platforms and opportunities for development of industries, such as the impact of flat-panel TVs on the development of the television industry.
The sixth is a new industry that breaks the technical bottleneck on a global scale, such as the recent emergence of new energy and environmental energy industries.
Liu Shijin said that China's industrial development currently faces constraints from three aspects: the cost of resources such as resources and labor has risen, and the low-cost competitive advantage of China's industry has been weakened; the domestic market space dominated by low-end and medium-end advantages has gradually narrowed. It will be difficult to maintain a high growth rate only by quantitative expansion; the adjustment of the US high consumption pattern after the crisis will form a medium- and long-term structural constraint on the Chinese product export market. At present, China's export enterprises have limited space for product expansion. China's industry only has a mid-to-high-end industrial value chain and has a lasting competitiveness.
Liu Shijin predicted the six key industrial areas that China may have in the future.
The first is an industry that reflects the requirements of the national strategy and is directly supported by the state's direct investment, such as the military industry and the aerospace industry.
The second is an industry with significant market and production scale economic advantages, such as steel, nonferrous metals, chemicals, and automobiles.
The third is a technology-intensive industry based on strong manufacturing capabilities and with certain R&D capabilities, such as the telecommunications equipment manufacturing industry.
The fourth is based on labor-intensive and industrial supporting advantages, and has the advantages of R&D, marketing, brand and other industries, mainly light industry, textile and garment, and some electronic machinery and other industries.
The fifth is due to major breakthroughs in technology, the formation of new technology platforms and opportunities for development of industries, such as the impact of flat-panel TVs on the development of the television industry.
The sixth is a new industry that breaks the technical bottleneck on a global scale, such as the recent emergence of new energy and environmental energy industries.
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