China's future mold industry analysis and forecast

In the process of the continuous development of the information society and economic globalization, the development trend of the mold industry is mainly the development of mold products toward larger, more sophisticated, more complex and more economical and rapid. With the continuous improvement of product technology content, mold production is developing towards informationization, digitization, non-image, refinement and automation; mold enterprises are facing technology integration, equipment precision, product branding, management informationization, and operation internationalization. Direction development.

Future development goals

Based on the national mold output value of 60 billion yuan in 2005, the annual average growth rate during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” period is 12%-15% and the average annual growth rate during 2010-2020 is about 10%. The total target is: The average growth rate is 12%, which is about 100 billion yuan in 2010 and about 260 billion yuan in 2020. Based on an average annual growth rate of 15%, it will be about 120 billion yuan in 2010 and about 310 billion yuan in 2020.

After the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" efforts, China's mold level will enter the ranks of advanced Asian level by 2010, and after 10 years of hard work, it will basically reach the international level in 2020, making China not only a mold producing country, but also a world mold. Manufacturing and manufacturing powers. Several specific targets for 2010:

(1) The mold accuracy is ±0.001mm; the mold production cycle is shortened by about 30%.
(2) The numerical control rate of machine tools and the application rate of CAD/CAM technology are doubled.
(3) The backbone enterprises basically realize information management and pass the ISO9000 and other quality management system certification.
(4) The proportion of high-level molds should be greatly improved. The proportion of medium-to-high-end molds with large technical content, such as large-scale, precise and complex, has increased from about 30% today to 40% in 2010 and more than 50% in 2020.
(5) The domestic market share of domestic molds is less than 80% from now on, and it will reach more than 85% in 2010 and over 90% in 2020.
(6) The export of molds will be US$1 billion in mold exports in 2010 and US$2.5-3.0 billion in mold exports in 2020.
(7) It is necessary to expand the variety of mold standard parts, improve their precision, increase production concentration, and achieve large-scale production. The coverage of mold standard parts has increased from about 45% today to 60% in 2010 and over 70% in 2020.
(8) The degree of commercialization of molds has reached 55% in 2010 and 65% in 2020, from the current 45%.

Development of key products

1. Automotive cover parts Die stamping dies account for more than 40% of the total mold. Automobile cover moulds are mainly for automobile, and also cover molds for agricultural vehicles, construction machinery and agricultural machinery. They are very representative in stamping molds. Most of them are large and medium-sized, with complex structure and high technical requirements. In particular, the cover mould for the car is more demanding and can represent the level of the stamping die. Such molds have a certain technical foundation in China, and have been equipped for mid-range cars, but the level is not high, and the capacity is insufficient. At present, the satisfaction rate is only about half. Mid-to-high-end car cover moulds rely mainly on imports and cost hundreds of millions of dollars each year. The level of automobile cover parts is not high, the capacity is insufficient, and the long production cycle has become the bottleneck of automobile development, which greatly affects the development of vehicles. In the future, the molds required for the cover of mid- to high-end cars will be the top priority. In the year of 201, the car cover moulds of medium and high-grade cars and the following levels can be fully self-contained. In addition to some special high-end cars in 2020, all car cover moulds should be based on domestic support.

2. Precision stamping die Multi-station progressive die and fine die represent the development direction of stamping die, precision requirements and life requirements are extremely high, mainly for the electronic information industry, automotive, instrumentation, electrical appliances and other supporting. These two kinds of molds have already been quite basic in China, and have introduced foreign technical equipment. The products produced by individual enterprises have reached the world level, but most enterprises still have large gaps, and the total amount is also in short supply, and imports are more. For the ultra-large-scale integrated circuit, it is matched with the lead frame of the lead pin 100 or more and the gap of 0.2mm or less, and is matched with the precision micro-connector with an accuracy of 5mm or more, and is equipped with a micro motor core of 1.6mm or less and is a picture tube and an electron gun. The matching precision molds are the top priority of development. Large multi-station progressive die for automotive panels and other large and medium-sized stampings should also be developed.

3. Large and precision plastic mold plastic molds account for nearly 40% of the total mold, and this proportion is still rising. Large-scale injection mold for plastics and home appliances in plastic molds, precision plastic molds for integrated circuits, multi-layer, multi-cavity, multi-material, multi-color precision injection molds for electronic information industry and machinery and packaging, for new building materials And plastic profile extrusion die and pipe and nozzle die for water-saving agriculture, although there is a fairly technical basis and is developing rapidly, but the technical level is still far from the foreign countries, the total supply is also in short supply, imported every year. Hundreds of millions of dollars should be focused on development during the 11th Five-Year Plan period.

4. Main mold standard parts At present, the standard mold parts with large output in China are mainly mold bases, guide parts, push rod push tubes, elastic elements, etc., but the quality is poor and the variety size is small. These products not only have a large number of domestic supporting needs, but also have good export prospects. They should continue to develop vigorously. Nitrogen cylinders and hot runner components have not been produced by formal professional factories in China, mainly relying on imports. They should raise the level on the existing basis, form standards, and organize large-scale production.

5. Other high-tech molds account for nearly 8% of the total die-casting molds. Large-scale thin-walled precision die-casting molds are high in content and difficult. Although magnesium alloy die-casting molds and vacuum die-casting forming molds have just started, they have good development prospects and are representative. The meridian rubber tire mold is also the development direction, and the active mold technology is the most difficult. Some rapid molding techniques combined with rapid prototyping technology and corresponding rapid economical molds have good development prospects. These high-tech molds should also be developed during the 11th Five-Year Plan period.

Development of key technologies

Today, with the rapid development of high-tech, in order to ensure the rapid development of the mold industry belonging to the high-tech industry, many common technologies in the mold industry must also be upgraded to the next level. It is necessary to continuously develop and promote applications and actively apply high technology. The main measures are as follows:

(1) Develop software with independent intellectual property rights, suitable for China's national conditions, with high level of mold design, processing and mold enterprise management, continuously improve the intelligence and integration of software, and promote the application.

(2) Promote the application of high-speed, high-precision machining technology and develop high-speed and high-precision machining of corresponding equipment, including high-speed and high-precision machining, high-speed and high-precision machining and composite machining. In the next 15 years or so, China's machine tool industry should gradually provide the corresponding equipment suitable for high-speed and high-precision processing of molds to the mold industry. If possible, it is recommended to develop high-precision mold manufacturing with independent intellectual property rights and accuracy of 0.0001mm. device.

(3) Further development, improvement and application of rapid prototyping and rapid economic mold manufacturing new technologies.

(4) Vigorously develop and promote information technology and digital technology. For example, reverse engineering, concurrent engineering, agile manufacturing technology research and development and application; including large-scale progressive die and high-precision and high-complexity high-tech advanced mold 3D design and manufacturing technology; including stamping process design system, mold R&D of the digital design and manufacturing system for the body mold of the profile design system, forming analysis system, mold structure design system, mold CAM system and stamping expert consultation system; mold integration, flexibility and automatic processing technology and network virtual technology.

(5) New technology and new technology for mold manufacturing. Energy-saving, material-saving technology for mold manufacturing, mold heat treatment, surface finishing and new surface treatment technologies.

(6) Development, serialization and correct selection of high-performance mold materials.

Measures and policies

Mold is an important basic equipment for manufacturing, and it is an "unparalleled benefit amplifier." Without high-level molds, there is no high-level industrial product, so mold technology has become one of the important indicators to measure the manufacturing level of a country's products. Because of the importance of the mold and its important position in the national economy, since the State Council promulgated the "Decision on the Key Points of Current Industrial Policies" in March 1998, the mold industry has been mentioned in a high position, and the country has given some Encourage and support policies. With the support of the state, although China's mold output value is already the third in the world, the overall level is still much behind the industrial developed countries. The mold industry is still a childish industry in China, and the import and export deficit of molds exceeds 1 billion US dollars per year. With China's accession to the WTO, the prospect of mold export is getting better and better, and China's mold industry needs to develop faster to adapt to the development of the situation. To develop faster in the mold industry, it is necessary to mobilize various positive factors, and it needs to be strongly supported by all parties. The support of the various government departments and their own efforts are the most important. The measures and policy recommendations for developing the mold industry are as follows:

(1) Formulating laws and regulations, promulgating corresponding policies, and guiding investment directions. It is recommended to learn from the experience of the formulation and implementation of several revitalization laws (revitalization measures) in Japan in the 1960s and 1970s, and to target industries such as molds that need to be revitalized in China. Formulate our laws and regulations. Cooperate with newly formulated laws and regulations, adopt government intervention and economic support policies, introduce corresponding policies and measures, and provide support in the form of legislation in finance, taxation, and technological transformation.

In view of the high net value-added rate of mold products, the value-added tax of mold enterprises is twice as high as the average level of other industries in the machinery industry. Therefore, it is recommended to reduce the VAT burden of mold enterprises, or continue to implement the policy of first-time return, or reduce the value-added tax rate. , for example, from 17% to 5% to 10%.

Encourage investment in developing molds. For example, the construction fund of the investment mold factory can deduct the enterprise income tax; the introduction of key equipment and the raw materials and spare parts required for the production of molds by the mold enterprises to reduce the import tax to encourage the introduction of high-tech and its products.

(2) Accelerate system reform and strive to adjust the industrial structure. The current industrial structure of the mold industry is unreasonable. Mainly in the organizational structure, product structure, technical structure and import and export structure. Under the guidance of relevant policies during the 11th Five-Year Plan period, active measures should be taken to adjust and rationalize them. For example, it encourages specialization and commercial production, encourages the production of large, precise, complex, long-life molds and mold standard parts, encourages separation of main and auxiliary, and makes mold production from subsidiary to independent.

(3) Market-oriented operation, gradually forming a regionally-matched mold production industry chain. During the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” period, on the one hand, we must support the encouragement of qualified localities to build mold production clusters with higher levels and greater capabilities. (Or called mold city, mold park), through market-oriented operation, gradually form a regional more suitable mold production industry chain. On the other hand, it is recommended to use the automobile cover mould as the main service object, and actively guide to form a regional automobile mold manufacturing network led by the existing large-scale and high-level enterprises. The network is a corporate consortium, or a strategic alliance. It has a common technology platform, a close collaborative relationship, and can operate as a virtual enterprise. It is a community of interests. If successful, it can be gradually promoted in the industry from 2010 to 2020.

(4) Actively cultivating “leading” enterprises According to the current development situation at home and abroad, it is time to put the “scale effect” on the agenda. There are already many mold companies with an output value of more than 100 million US dollars. The largest mold company has developed into a multinational group with an annual output value of 4 billion US dollars (including mold and mold related products). There are already a number of enterprises with an annual output value of more than 100 million yuan. These companies play an important role in promoting the development of the mold industry. During the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" period, we should focus on the development priorities and, with the support of the state, selectively select a group of "leading enterprises". To this end, I hope to include a small number of key mold projects in the national plan, become a national special project, and implement policy inclinations.

(5) Strengthen cooperation between industry, universities and research institutes, promote the scientific and technological development of the mold industry and technical research work. It is recommended that relevant government departments establish mold development funds for the development, research and innovation projects of common technology in the mold industry, and give priority support to “leading enterprises”. It is necessary to strengthen the cooperation of industry, academia and research with the support of relevant state departments, promote the scientific and technological development and technical research work in the mold industry, organize key units of industry, education and research in the industry, work together, work together, strive for early results, produce more results, and enjoy the results together. And industrialize the results to quickly improve the technical level of the industry.

(6) Proposal to establish a national mold testing center With the continuous development of the mold industry, mold quality testing has become more and more urgent, but so far there is no national testing center in China, and it is recommended to establish a national testing center.

(7) Strengthen the specialization of molds to promote large-scale large-scale production of mold standard parts, improve the production and demand connection of mold standard parts, and promote the continuous improvement of the use of mold standard parts and the continuous development of the industry.

(8) Strengthening talent training and improving the quality of enterprises The shortage of talents has become a major inhibitor of the development of the industry. It is recommended to establish a high-, medium-, and low-level mold technology talent education and training network nationwide, centering on some basic industrial cities. And enable enterprises to train employees through various channels to improve quality. It is recommended to establish a national mold technology training center with the support of the state with the aim of training teachers and senior talents. Actively introduce foreign intelligence.

It is necessary to actively cultivate the large market of molds, strive to improve the management level of enterprises, promote the varieties, upper level and scale of mold standard parts; gradually establish mold research and design, talent training and production system to adapt to China's national conditions, not only to make China further become a mold In producing big countries, we must work hard to make China gradually become a mold producing country.

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