The reporter learned from the China Photovoltaic Industry Association that the total exports of domestic PV products (silicon wafers, cells, modules) reached US$16.11 billion in 2018, the highest level after “double oppositionâ€. Specifically, the export volume of all links exceeded 2017, of which the component export volume was about 41GW, a year-on-year increase of 30%, and the highest increase was among PV products.
PV industry analysts told Economic Watch that such an export structure is due to the fact that overseas markets have large upstream (polysilicon) capacity. On the other hand, in the current global PV industry division, the international market is mainly As an application market for photovoltaic terminals. Whether it is industrial, middle or downstream, China is the most important producer and supplier, and the largest application country.
For the foreign trade environment in which the PV market is in this year, Wang Bohua, deputy director and secretary-general of China Photovoltaic Industry Association, concluded on January 17th the "Photovoltaic Industry 2018 Development Review and 2019 Situation Outlook Seminar" concluded: "Overall The advantages are better than the disadvantages."
In August 2018, the EU announced that anti-dumping and countervailing measures against PV products in China expired on September 3 of that year, which means that the EU has come to an end for five years of "double opposition". Wang Bohua commented on this: "The cancellation of the restraining order is the most favorable decision for the entire EU, and will truly achieve mutual benefit and win-win for the dual-anti-industry. At the same time, it also has a good guiding effect on other markets."
According to Wang Bohua's introduction at the above-mentioned meeting, in 2018, the market concentration of the major exporting countries and regions continued to decline, forming a diversified market combining traditional markets with emerging markets (South America, Middle East and North Africa). At the same time, from the perspective of the overseas investment of domestic PV companies, the overseas layout is being matched, and the construction of power stations is beginning to go out.
The Economic Observer Online reporter learned from the China Photovoltaic Industry Association that in 2018, China's major PV products are exported to South Korea, India, Japan, Australia, Mexico, Brazil, Ukraine, the Netherlands, Vietnam, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates. In addition, the "201" double-reaction measures affected China's direct exports of photovoltaic modules to the United States only US$31.41 million, down by 90% year-on-year.
In 2019, will China's photovoltaic industry usher in a better year? Wang Bohua said: "At present, we are facing a complicated internal and external situation, and the industry is growing steadily and maintaining pressure."
On the international front, Wang Bohua judged that the PV market prospects are relatively optimistic. At present, the international installed market is forming a blooming situation. In the domestic market, there is no problem with “a certain volume of marketâ€.
“The Chinese market is relatively optimistic. Today, the Chinese market is still a policy-oriented market. Of course, the world is also the same. The impact of policies on industrial development is very great. Even if we really achieve parity online, we still need policy support. "Wang Bohua said.
In view of the impact of the 5.31 New Deal in the domestic market, the domestic market expansion has encountered certain setbacks in the short term. Wang Bohua believes: “At present, there is still an inconsistency between steady growth and industry consolidation, and there is a growing, staged surplus in production capacity. The tendency is that the industry needs to be integrated to move towards healthy and sustainable development."
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