Looking at the recent performance of the domestic stock market, the author has repeatedly emphasized that even the mainstream stocks are not afraid to rise, but most of the sectors have struggled to keep up with the shifts in market momentum. In the A-share market, after a sharp rally on Tuesday, the overall decline throughout the day clearly reflected a situation where the market’s cautious stance was strong, while the enthusiasm for recovery remained weak. The wave of selling pressure outweighed the buying wave. Although the index fell below 2,300 points on Wednesday, it is believed that this level has now entered a range that is worth considering for accumulation. Therefore, the author believes that long-term investors have experienced a period of adjustment, with many bears having already exited the market, and the 15CrMo alloy steel pipe sector should gradually stabilize.
The author also notes that the recent domestic financial market has shown a lack of vigor, which is closely tied to the economic data released over the past months and the broader national economic sentiment. In particular, the data has increasingly confirmed an economic slowdown, yet there are signs of a slight recovery. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to this month, light industry enterprises above the designated size achieved a profit of 660 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 5.2%. This marks the first time since early 2009 that the profit growth of these enterprises has turned negative, and it has raised further concerns about the Q1 GDP figures for 2012. As investors remain uncertain about the economic outlook, market volatility is expected to persist in the short term.
Additionally, the ongoing uncertainty surrounding monetary policy and external trade conditions continues to weigh on investor confidence. While some sectors show signs of resilience, the broader market remains under pressure. With key economic indicators still showing weakness, the path to recovery may be slow and bumpy. However, with major support levels holding and fundamental factors beginning to stabilize, there could be opportunities for long-term investors who are willing to wait for the right moment.
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